Phil Hogan says he believes the UK PM will extend the transition period if there’s no deal.
U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson won’t stick to his pledge not to extend the Brexit transition period, the EU’s trade commissioner predicted.
In an interview with the Irish Times, Phil Hogan said Johnson had backed down on his promise not to request a new Brexit extension and “I don’t believe prime minister Johnson will die in the ditch over the timeline for the future relationship either.”
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Hogan’s remarks come after European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned last week that a trade deal with the U.K. may not be possible before the end of 2020, which is when the transition period is due to end.
Johnson has said he will not extend negotiations beyond that date, creating a potential new Brexit cliff-edge if no deal is struck. The U.K. government’s Brexit legislation even includes a clause ruling out such an extension. Hogan called that move “very odd,” adding: “It is important that we move from stunt to substance. It would be helpful if the focus was on content rather than timetables.”
Brexit will have “negative consequences for our economies,” Hogan warned. Even an “ambitious” trade deal “will not change the facts on Brexit” he added, “particularly on goods the U.K. government has so far avoided any statement of the U.K. aligning with the EU on regulatory aspects. We all have to come to terms with the reality that Brexit means there will be two markets, not a single market.”